Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
