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Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 18, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
Atalanta logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Atalanta

Pessina (59')
Amrabat (41'), Pessina (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zapata (50')
Hateboer (64'), Toloi (85')

Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Atalanta BC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Atalanta, including team news and predicted lineups.

Hellas Verona will be seeking to end a four-game winless run in the Italian top flight when they play host to free-scoring Atalanta BC on Saturday.

Following Lazio's dreadful run of form as of late, Atalanta now occupy second spot in the table - seven points behind current champions Juventus with five games left to play.


Match preview

Hellas Verona's form has been indifferent since Serie A was given the green light to resume, and a mid-table finish seems the most probable outcome for I Gialloblu at this late stage of the season.

Ivan Juric's men gave European-chasing Roma a good run for their money in midweek, but goals from Jordan Veretout and Edin Dzeko ultimately condemned Verona to defeat at the Stadio Olimpico.

A top-six finish is not entirely out of the question for I Gialloblu as they sit ninth in the table, but the nine-point lead that Napoli boast over Verona will most likely prove insurmountable for Verona given their recent underwhelming results.

Juric's side have only managed to accumulate two wins since the restart, although the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi is a safe haven for Verona as they have triumphed in five out of their last seven fixtures on familiar territory.

Atalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini pictured on August 25, 2019© Reuters

Meanwhile, Atalanta just cannot stop scoring. Gian Piero Gasperini's men added another six goals to their tally for the season as relegation-threatened Brescia felt the full force of Atalanta's attacking prowess on Tuesday.

Mario Pasalic returned to the starting lineup with a hat-trick at the Gewiss Stadium, with Atalanta adding further goals through Ruslan Malinovskiy, Duvan Zapata and Marten de Roon all before the hour mark in a 6-2 victory.

Before the enforced shutdown, Lazio and Juventus were in a two-horse race for Serie A glory, but both sides have endured dismal winless runs as of late and Atalanta fans can certainly dream of a first-ever top-flight title for their club.

However, Juventus still boast a seven-point lead over Gasperini's men with five games left to go, and Atalanta may drop down to third if Inter Milan overcome bottom-of-the-table SPAL on Thursday.

Nevertheless, Juve's title streak is undoubtedly in serious jeopardy at this crucial stage of the campaign, and should Atalanta continue in their current vein of form in the closing stages, the race for Serie A glory is set to go right down to the wire.

Hellas Verona Serie A form: DWLDDL

Atalanta Serie A form: WWWWDW


Team News

Atalanta's Luis Muriel celebrates scoring their third goal against SPAL on August 25, 2019© Reuters

Verona's list of absentees currently includes Marash Kumbulla, Salvatore Bocchetti, Pawel Dawidowicz and Andrea Danzi, none of whom are expected to feature at the weekend.

Fabio Borini has also struggled with injury recently and is set to miss out again, but Amir Rrahmani could come back into the fold after missing out entirely against Roma.

As for Atalanta, Luis Muriel sustained a head injury at his home and was forced to miss out against Brescia, but the striker has confirmed that he is on the mend and should be available for selection on Saturday.

However, it is difficult to see Malinovskiy dropping out of the team given his recent goalscoring exploits, and Alejandro Gomez will also be hoping for a recall to the first XI.

Marco Sportiello featured in between the sticks against Brescia before being replaced in the 80th minute, meaning Pierluigi Gollini could return to the first XI for the trip to Verona.

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Rrahmani, Gunter, Empereur; Faraoni, Veloso, Amrabat, Lazovic; Pessina, Verre; Carmine

Atalanta possible starting lineup:
Gollini; Djimsiti, Toloi, Caldara; Hateboer, Pasalic, Roon, Gosens; Gomez; Malinovskiy, Zapata


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hellas Verona 1-4 Atalanta

Even though Verona have enjoyed a respectable set of results at home in recent months, Atalanta are proving impossible to contain and are now only seven strikes away from hitting the 100-goal mark for the season, so we expect Gasperini's men to march to victory in emphatic fashion this weekend.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
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11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
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