Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
