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Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Sep 5, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Penarol
3 - 2
Liverpool

Pereira (27' og.), Terans (34', 39')
Torres (64'), Bravo (87'), (87'), Piquerez (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Figueredo (9'), Correa (87')
Figueredo (9'), Candido (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawLiverpool
49.03%26.81%24.16%
Both teams to score 45.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87%58.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21%78.79%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03%57.98%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17%39.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51%76.5%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 49.02%
    Liverpool 24.16%
    Draw 26.8%
PenarolDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.16%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2019 8pm
Liverpool
1-0
Penarol
Romero (87')
Maulella (24'), Ocampo (74')

Rojas (37'), Davila (88'), Pereira (92')
Mar 10, 2019 10pm
Penarol
1-0
Liverpool
Fernandez (23')
Fernandez (21'), Formiliano (73'), Viatri (92')

Romero (65'), Gonzalez (86'), Rivas (87'), Bajter (88')
Romero (80')
Aug 12, 2018 7pm
Liverpool
2-4
Penarol
Martinez (69'), Ramirez (90' pen.)
Bava (16'), Gonzalez (35'), Caceres (43'), Gabrielli (81'), Ocampo (93')
Viera (92')
Fernandez (20', 76', 95'), Rodriguez (80')
Lores (51'), Hernandez (81')
Feb 24, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Liverpool
Rodriguez (30'), Fernandez (58')
Canobbio (29'), Rodriguez (70')
Hernandez (93')
Nunez (39')
Rivas (29'), Piriz (37'), Gabrielli (57'), Platero (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso96302113821
3NacionalNacional95401881019
4Defensor SportingDefensor94321711615
5Boston RiverBoston River94321210215
6River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
7Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
8Cerro Largo933388012
9LiverpoolLiverpool92521413111
10DanubioDanubio9234610-49
11CerroCerro91531016-68
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers9225814-68
13Miramar Misiones91441115-47
14Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9216814-67
15Rampla JuniorsRampla9216821-137
16FenixFenix9045511-64


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