Maldonado

2 - 1

River Plate

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.