MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 00:04:21| >> :120:4427:4427:
[monks data]
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Parma logo

Udinese
3 - 2
Parma

Samir (28'), Iacoponi (52' og.), Pussetto (88')
Becao (32'), Arslan (44'), Makengo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hernani (26'), Karamoh (70')
Brugman (57'), Iacoponi (73')

Preview: Udinese vs. Parma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday evening's Serie A encounter between Udinese and Parma, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Pointless Udinese welcome Parma on Sunday evening, with both sides desperately needing a fresh start in Serie A after the international hiatus.

The home side have lost all three games to date, even failing to register at home to promoted minnows Spezia, while the visitors have fared little better - only picking up their first points at home to Verona last time out.


Match preview

Udinese midfielder Rodrigo De Paul pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Udinese have not only failed to take a point, they have yet to score a solitary goal, so Luca Gotti will surely consider throwing signings Ignacio Pussetto and Gerard Deulofeu - both from fellow Pozzo-owned club Watford - into the fray at some stage.

Once those two, alongside another Vicarage Road alumnus, Roberto Pereyra, are embedded in the starting XI, the prospects of a season in mid-table comfort seem more attainable for the Friulian side.

However, for now the attacking emphasis will fall upon the Zebrette's misfiring front pair Stefano Okaka and skipper Kevin Lasagna.

Vice-captain Rodrigo De Paul - for so long linked with a switch to Leeds United in the summer - must also step up to the plate sooner rather than later.

Fortunately for the Bianconeri, Parma have conceded at a rate of two goals per game this season, but with the likes of Hernani, Juraj Kucka and Gervinho in harness, the visitors have sufficient attacking talents to cause some damage going forward.

Parma manager Fabio Liverani pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Last season saw Parma do the double over Sunday's opponents. They defeated Udinese 3-1 at the Dacia Arena last September, then 2-0 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in January.

Those results were befitting of their recent record in this fixture. It was 2014-15 – when the club were humiliatingly relegated and declared bankrupt – that Udinese last defeated Parma in Serie A.

Since their remarkable resurrection soon after, the club have gone from strength to strength. Now they are fully re-established as a Serie A mainstay and one-time Leyton Orient boss Fabio Liverani will be expected to win such games against their fellow middleweight rivals this season.

Given their respective problems with injuries and COVID-19 infections this week, both Udinese and Parma will not be at full strength. Nonetheless, an intriguing match is in prospect.

Udinese Serie A form: LLL

Parma Serie A form: LLW


Team News

Udinese manager Luca Gotti pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Home side Udinese have several senior players absent through injury. Midfield duo Rolando Mandragora and Mato Jajalo, right-back Jens Stryger Larsen, centre-half Bram Nuytinck (quad) and goalkeeper Juan Musso (torn meniscus) will all miss out, while midfielder Walace is doubtful.

Wylan Cyprien, on loan from Nice, is set to make his first appearance for Parma in midfield, alongside the creative forces of Kucka and Jasmin Kurtic.

However, the Gialloblu have registered four positive COVID-19 tests this week, as Roberto Inglese, Juan Brunetta, Jacopo Dezi and Lautaro Valenti sit the game out.

Mattia Sprocati, Maxime Busi, Denmark striker Andreas Cornelius - with a thigh strain - and Valentin Mihala are all injured too.

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Nicolas; Becao, De Maio, Samir; Ter Avest, Pereyra, Arslan, De Paul, Ouwejan; Lasagna, Okaka

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Laurini, Iacoponi, Alves, Gagliolo; Cyprien, Hernani, Kurtic; Kucka; Karamoh, Gervinho


SM words green background

We say: Udinese 1-1 Parma

With both sides desperate for points and momentum already, it is likely that it will be a close-fought encounter at the Dacia Arena on Sunday.

Injury-hit Udinese must surely get off the mark - in terms of both goals and points - but their visitors, Parma, are capable of finding the net at least once themselves. In the final analysis, a draw could be an acceptable outcome for both sides.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

ID:418256: cacheID:418256:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:9631:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Watford's Ismaila Sarr celebrates scoring their first goal on February 29, 2020
Read Next:
Watford's most valuable players
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Blanch
Nadal
10am
Cachin
Ofner
10am
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
10am
Gasquet
Sonego
10am
Hanfmann
Mensik
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
10am
Lajovic
Monteiro
10am
Machac
Ruusuvuori
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
10am
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
10am
O'Connell
Arnaldi
10am
Purcell
Giron
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
10am
Tabilo
Cobolli
10am
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
10am
Azarenka
Maria
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
10am
Gauff
Rus
10am
Keys
Camelia-Begu
10am
Podoroska
Navarro
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Altmaier
Fils
10am
Darderi
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Daniel
10am
Munar
Struff
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Navone
Rune
10am
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
10am
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
10am
Vekic
Sakkari
11.30am
Arango
Yastremska
11.30am
Osaka
Samsonova
11.30am
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
1pm
Haddad Maia
Errani
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!