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Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 11
Dec 7, 2020 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
1 - 2
Southampton

Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Southampton make the short trip to Brighton & Hove Albion on Monday evening looking to hit back from their dramatic defeat to Manchester United last weekend.

Meanwhile, Brighton's 1-1 draw with Liverpool has kept the Seagulls four points above the Premier League relegation zone.


Match preview

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Having gone into half time versus United with a 2-0 lead, Southampton were on course to end the weekend in third place and extend their unbeaten record to eight matches.

However, their second-half capitulation has put a different spin on matters - the Saints are now in sixth spot and having to deal with the disappointment of letting slip a sizeable advantage.

Ralph Hasenhuttl's team have gifted United a route back up the table at a time when they are struggling for consistency, but the Austrian will be more concerned with getting a positive reaction out of his own team.

While Southampton should have few issues in the final third, their backline has been far too open in recent matches, issues which started when they conceded three times during the final quarter against Aston Villa on November 1.

Although Hasenhuttl will want to win by any means necessary on Monday night, a narrow win with a clean sheet would satisfy him far more than another action-packed thriller.

The same can probably be said for Graham Potter, who has seen Brighton lose just once in six matches courtesy of getting things right in defence.

Just six goals have been shipped in as many games, and their latest showing against Liverpool suggested that Potter has finally found a better balance with his tactics.

Nevertheless, wins for West Bromwich Albion and Fulham have kept the pressure on the South Coast outfit ahead of a busy period of the season.

Danny Welbeck has starred for Brighton since his arrival at the Amex Stadium, but the Englishman requires a helping hand from his teammates when it comes to taking chances.

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form: DDLDWD

Southampton Premier League form: DWWWDL



Team News

Brighton and Hove Albion defender Tariq Lamptey pictured on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Brighton will be able to call upon Tariq Lamptey, who was absent for the showdown with Liverpool through suspension.

However, Adam Lallana misses out against his former club, while Neal Maupay is struggling with the hamstring injury which led to his early withdrawal last weekend.

While Danny Ings could return to the Southampton squad after a knee problem, the club's top goalscorer may be kept among the replacements.

The same can be said of Nathan Redmond, who has not featured for a month due to a hamstring injury.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Ryan; White, Dunk, Webster; Lamptey, Gross, Bissouma, March; Trossard; Connolly, Welbeck

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Vestergaard, Bertrand; Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Djenepo; Adams, Walcott


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 Southampton

This has all the makings of a game which should be easy on the eye with plenty of attack-minded football combined with frailties at the back. Brighton may dominate much of the ball, but we feel that the extra cutting edge from the visitors in the final third will prove to be the difference.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.


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Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured in November 2020
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