Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Parma |
48.09% | 24.94% | 26.97% |
Both teams to score 53.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% | 20.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% | 52.83% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% | 68.96% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |