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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Crotone logo

Spezia
3 - 2
Crotone

Verde (63'), Maggiore (89'), Erlic (90+2')
Ismajli (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djidji (40'), Simy (78')
Reca (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCrotone
56.55%22.72%20.73%
Both teams to score 53.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85%45.15%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93%36.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15%72.85%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 56.54%
    Crotone 20.73%
    Draw 22.71%
SpeziaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.7%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 5.94%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Spezia vs Crotone

Spezia
57.9%
Draw
18.4%
Crotone
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Crotone
4-1
Spezia
Messias (7', 90+6'), Reca (49'), Henrique (56')
Messias (33'), Henrique (34'), Magallan (70')
Farias (18')
Chabot (3'), Ferrer (22'), Maggiore (64')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Crotone
1-2
Spezia
Lopez (47' pen.)
Simy (29'), Golemic (89'), Messias (90'), Marrone (94')
Messias (95')
N'Zola (34'), Ragusa (78')
Ricci (38'), Ferrer (47'), Gyasi (53'), Mora (84')
Aug 31, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 2
Spezia
1-2
Crotone
Ricci (44')
Simy (24' pen., 29')
Barberis (57'), Molina (80'), Zanellato (90')
May 4, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 37
Spezia
2-0
Crotone
Galabinov (25'), Bidaoui (81')
Mora (90')

Vaisanen (31'), Milic (39'), Zanellato (45')
Dec 27, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crotone
0-3
Spezia

Molina (70'), Golemic (81')
De Francesco (13'), Pierini (79', 90')
Vignali (57'), Crivello (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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