Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
51.51% | 23.86% | 24.63% |
Both teams to score 55.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% | 46.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% | 68.52% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% | 17.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% | 48.79% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% | 32.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% | 69.42% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |