Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
74.08% | 15.37% | 10.55% |
Both teams to score 54.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% | 32.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.36% | 53.64% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.63% | 7.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.42% | 26.58% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% | 40.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% | 77.48% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.86% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.37% | 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |