Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Spezia |
34.13% | 27.9% | 37.98% |
Both teams to score 47.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.03% | 57.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% | 78.67% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% | 31.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.61% | 68.39% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% | 65.53% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.12% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |