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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Milan logo

Parma
1 - 3
AC Milan

Gagliolo (66')
Bani (10'), Pezzella (37'), Gagliolo (38'), Kucka (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rebic (8'), Kessie (44'), Leao (90+4')
Calhanoglu (24'), Hernandez (78'), Kessie (81'), Meite (90')
Ibrahimovic (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAC Milan
15.69%20.68%63.63%
Both teams to score 50.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35%44.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98%67.01%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71%41.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19%77.81%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64%13.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.75%40.25%
Score Analysis
    Parma 15.69%
    AC Milan 63.62%
    Draw 20.68%
ParmaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 4.88%
2-1 @ 4.34%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 15.69%
1-1 @ 9.82%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.68%
0-2 @ 11.17%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 6.63%
0-4 @ 3.77%
1-4 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-5 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.62%

How you voted: Parma vs AC Milan

Parma
9.6%
Draw
18.1%
AC Milan
72.3%
83
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
2-2
Parma
Hernandez (58', 90+1')
Hernandez (35'), Calabria (80'), Kalulu (83')
Hernani (13'), Kurtic (56')
Osorio (41'), Iacoponi (65'), Inglese (77')
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 33
Parma
1-1
AC Milan
Alves (87')
Castillejo (69')
Biglia (82')
Dec 2, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
2-1
Parma
Cutrone (55'), Kessie (71' pen.)
Borini (70'), Castillejo (90')
Inglese (49')
Biabiany (61'), Iacoponi (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli321310950401049
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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