Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
15.91% | 20.01% | 64.07% |
Both teams to score 53.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% | 41.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.09% | 38.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.82% | 12.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.17% | 37.82% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 4.47% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.01% | 0-2 @ 10.5% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |