Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Roma |
22.59% | 21.45% | 55.95% |
Both teams to score 60.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.56% | 37.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.34% | 59.66% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% | 29.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% | 65.83% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% | 13.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.79% | 40.2% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.05% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 8% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 3.3% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.74% Total : 55.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |