Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
40.88% | 24.94% | 34.18% |
Both teams to score 57.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% | 45.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% | 68.06% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% | 22.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% | 55.78% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |