Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
38.11% | 25.32% | 36.58% |
Both teams to score 56.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% | 47.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% | 24.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.27% | 58.73% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% | 25.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% | 59.9% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 0.92% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |