Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
45.19% | 26.73% | 28.07% |
Both teams to score 49.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.55% | 55.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% | 76.64% |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% | 24.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% | 58.89% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% | 35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% | 71.74% |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 23 | 48 | 71 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 70 |
3 | Hearts | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
4 | Kilmarnock | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 44 |
5 | St Mirren | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
6 | Hibernian | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
7 | Dundee | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 36 |
8 | Motherwell | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 32 |
9 | Aberdeen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 |
10 | St Johnstone | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 28 |
11 | Ross County | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
12 | Livingston | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |