Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.