Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
44.58% | 23.98% | 31.43% |
Both teams to score 59.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.78% | 42.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% | 64.62% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% | 19.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.18% | 50.82% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% | 25.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% | 60.84% |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.15% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.28% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 21 | 36 | 59 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 58 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 46 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
5 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 36 |
8 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 35 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
10 | Arbroath | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 65 | -35 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |