Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
40.55% | 25.49% | 33.97% |
Both teams to score 55.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% | 70.37% |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% | 23.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% | 57.63% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% | 27.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.37% | 62.63% |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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