Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
56.53% | 23.67% | 19.79% |
Both teams to score 49.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% | 17.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% | 48.45% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% | 40% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% | 76.66% |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.56% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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