Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
47.44% | 25.39% | 27.16% |
Both teams to score 52.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% | 54.38% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% | 33.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% | 69.81% |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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