Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
30.97% | 24.7% | 44.33% |
Both teams to score 57.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.3% | 45.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% | 68.02% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% | 63.48% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% | 20.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% | 53.29% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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