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Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Lille

St Etienne
1 - 1
Lille

Khazri (33' pen.)
Neyou (16'), Camara (38'), Debuchy (52'), Kolodziejczak (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ikone (65')
Bradaric (28')

Preview: Saint-Etienne vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Saint-Etienne will be desperate to end their torrid losing run when they play host to Ligue 1 high-flyers Lille at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard on Sunday evening.

The hosts were put to the sword 4-1 by Brest in their last fixture, whereas Lille go into this game following a 1-1 draw with AC Milan in the Europa League.


Match preview

Saint-Etienne head coach Claude Puel pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Saint-Etienne are without doubt the team that every side in the French top flight wants to face right now. Having overseen a seven-game losing run with Les Verts, it is no wonder that Claude Puel's future is being called into question.

While the departure of Wesley Fofana to Leicester City was always going to lead to some difficulty moving forward, not many could have foreseen Saint-Etienne's slump following an extremely bright start to the campaign, with Puel's side now winless since gameweek three.

Saint-Etienne did manage to pick up a 3-2 friendly victory over Grenoble Foot 38 during the most recent international break, but the Verts faithful were soon brought crashing back down to earth against Brest, who eased to a 4-1 victory over the out-of-sorts Saint-Etienne last weekend.

Puel's side gave it a real good go against Lyon just before the international break, but Brest handed a harsh reality check to Les Verts as they put four past Saint-Etienne in the first half, with Mahdi Camara's goal meaning very little in the context of the game.

No team in the division has endured a worse run than Saint-Etienne recently - even basement side Dijon have managed to play out a few draws - and the last thing that Puel needs is the visit of an in-form Lille outfit boasting one of the most-coveted talents in the league.

Lille head coach Christophe Galtier pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

There was to be no repeat of that memorable night at San Siro for Lille in midweek, with Christophe Galtier's men unable to replicate their magnificent performance which saw them run out 3-0 winners in Italy.

Milan took the lead through Samu Castillejo at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, but an equaliser from Jonathan Bamba ensured that both European powerhouses walked away from that game with a point.

Perhaps the only surprise of that fixture was Yusuf Yazici's failure to increase his Europa League tally, although having notched up all three of his side's goals at San Siro earlier this month, it is no wonder that speculation surrounding a potential move to Arsenal has started to gather pace.

For now, though, Yazici will simply be determined to help second-placed Lille further close the gap on current leaders Paris Saint-Germain, with Galtier's men now only two points adrift of the champions following their defeat to Monaco last week.

Lille's most recent encounter in the league saw Les Dogues march to a resounding 4-0 victory over a struggling Lorient side, with Yazici bagging a brace while Luiz Araujo and Jonathan David - who scored his first goal for Lille at the 14th attempt - also got in on the act.

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form: LLLLLL

Lille Ligue 1 form: WWDDLW
Lille form (all competitions): DDWLWD


Team News

Lyon's Bruno Guimaraes in action with Lille's Renato Sanches in Ligue 1 on March 8, 2020© Reuters

Saint-Etienne pair Wahbi Khazri and Romain Hamouma missed out against Brest through suspension, with the latter potentially in line for a swift recall to the starting lineup.

Camara notched up a goal playing in an unfamiliar right-back position last weekend, but Mathieu Debuchy is expected to reprise his regular spot in defence against Lille.

On the opposite side, Alpha Sissoko played in that fateful first 45 against Brest before being taken off, with Miguel Trauco set to return to the first XI here.

Lille trio Burak Yilmaz, Jose Fonte and Reinildo are all back for this one having sat out the win over Lorient through suspension, although the latter started against Milan and may make way for Domagoj Bradaric this weekend.

Galtier is already without the injured Renato Sanches and Zeki Celik, and the Dogues manager could be in a predicament at right-back with Jeremy Pied being forced off in the draw with the Rossoneri.

Tiago Djalo could be in line for a start in defence should Pied be ruled out, while Jonathan Ikone should feature from the first whistle in this one as well.

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Moulin; Debuchy, Kolodziejczak, Moukoudi, Trauco; Neyou, Youssouf; Nordin, Aouchiche, Bouanga; Hamouma

Lille possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Djalo, Fonte, Botman, Bradaric; Ikone, Andre, Soumare, Bamba; Yazici, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Saint-Etienne 0-2 Lille

The form book suggests that Lille will be in for an easy ride against Saint-Etienne, but Galtier's side have had very little time to rest following a hard-fought battle with Milan and cannot afford to go into Sunday's game thinking that they have already won. However, the Dogues camp still boast plenty of talented players and Puel's men are showing no signs of a revival anytime soon, so Lille should still pick up all three points with minimal difficulty here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.


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Lyon's Memphis Depay pictured in August 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre291510453282555
2Angers29155942321050
3Saint-EtienneSt Etienne29146936231348
4Laval2913973529648
5Rodez AFRodez AF29111084740743
6GuingampGuingamp2911993731642
7Paris FCParis FC2911993430442
8Caen29126113937242
9AmiensAmiens29101272627-142
10Grenoble29101093633340
11PauPau29101094242040
12Ajaccio29108112833-538
13Bordeaux29108113237-537
14DunkerqueDunkerque29107122940-1137
15Troyes29811103336-335
16Bastia2997132937-833
17Concarneau2996143040-1033
18Annecy2979133340-730
19Quevilly29513113538-328
20Valenciennes29211161740-2317


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