Zenit

3 - 1

Sochi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.