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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2020 at 8pm UK
Mestalla
Real Madrid logo

Valencia
4 - 1
Real Madrid

Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')

Preview: Valencia vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Madrid will be aiming to make it three La Liga victories in a row when they continue their 2020-21 campaign with a clash against Valencia at Mestalla on Sunday night.

Los Blancos are currently second in Spain's top flight with 16 points to show from their seven matches, while Valencia occupy 13th spot in the division, having only picked up eight points from as many fixtures.


Match preview

Jose Gaya in action for Valencia in November 2019© Reuters

To suggest that Valencia are currently going through a difficult period would be a slight understatement, with issues behind the scenes now leading to poor results on the field.

Indeed, Los Che have not triumphed in La Liga since the end of September, losing three of their last four to slide down the table into 13th position, just three points outside of the relegation zone.

Head coach Javi Gracia recently revealed that he wants to leave the club and is only remaining in his position due to a contractual obligation, with the Spaniard unhappy that a number of key players were allowed to leave the Mestalla over the summer without replacements arriving.

Geoffrey Kondogbia then accused the club's president Anil Murthy of 'destroying an ambitious project', and the Frenchman subsequently joined Atletico Madrid, meaning that another important figure has left the club, further limiting Gracia's options for change.

Just one point from their last four league matches is an indication of their struggles, and it is difficult to imagine them even matching last season's ninth-place finish, which is an indication of how far the six-time Spanish champions have fallen.

Sergio Ramos celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on November 3, 2020© Reuters

Madrid, meanwhile, have not been without their problems this season, but Zinedine Zidane's side will enter this weekend's contest off the back of two impressive league victories.

Indeed, the reigning champions bounced back from their 1-0 defeat to Cadiz on October 17 by beating Barcelona 3-1 at Camp Nou on October 24, before recording a 4-1 success over Huesca last weekend.

Los Blancos will also enter this match off the back of an incredibly important 3-2 victory over Inter Milan in the Champions League, which was so vital considering the team's poor start to their European campaign.

A record of five wins, one draw and one defeat from seven matches has brought Madrid 16 points in Spain's top flight, leaving them second, one point behind the leaders Real Sociedad with a game in hand.

The capital giants will be determined to put another victory on the board, but they were held to a 1-1 draw by Valencia in the corresponding match last season and have not actually won at Mestalla in Spain's top flight since January 2018.

Valencia La Liga form: DWLLLD

Real Madrid La Liga form: WWWLWW
Real Madrid form (all competitions): LLWDWW


Team News

Real Madrid midfielder Martin Odegaard pictured in action against Real Sociedad in La Liga on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Valencia will be unable to call upon full-back Thierry Correia on Sunday as the 21-year-old is suspended courtesy of the red card that he picked up against Getafe last time out.

Daniel Wass could therefore move to the right-back position, with Uros Racic potentially coming into the midfield to partner Carlos Soler, leaving Denis Cheryshev on the left.

Madrid are allegedly interested in signing Valencia youngster Yunus Musah, and the teenager is expected to continue in the side this weekend, while Hugo Guillamon should retain his spot in central defence as Mouctar Diakhaby is still on the sidelines through injury.

There could also be an alteration in attack, though, with Goncalo Guedes potentially joining Maxi Gomez as part of a front two, although Kevin Gameiro and Lee Kang-in are also options.

Madrid, meanwhile, will again be without the services of Dani Carvajal, Nacho and Alvaro Odriozola through injury, while Eder Militao is unavailable, having recently tested positive for coronavirus.

Casemiro and Eden Hazard also returned positive tests for coronavirus on Friday and will therefore not be involved, with Luka Modric and Vinicius Junior now set for starts.

Lucas Vazquez is expected to continue at right-back, while Martin Odegaard has stepped up his recovery from a calf problem ahead of the match, and there is a chance that the Norway international could be included in the squad.

Karim Benzema and Marco Asensio are both likely to feature as part of a front three, and Hazard's late withdrawal should see Vinicius come into the starting XI.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Wass, Gabriel, Guillamon, Gaya; Musah, Soler, Racic, Cheryshev; Gomez, Guedes

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Vazquez, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Kroos, Modric, Valverde; Vinicius, Benzema, Asensio


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid

This has all of the makings of a very, very interesting game of football. Valencia are certainly capable of pulling off a big result against the reigning champions, but we are finding it difficult to back Los Che due to their struggles this term and have ultimately chosen Madrid to edge a tight encounter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.


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Real Madrid captain Sergio Ramos celebrates with Eden Hazard after scoring on June 14, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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