MX23RW : Saturday, April 20 02:11:05| >> :120:22129:22129:
[monks data]
Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Valladolid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Junior (65')
Casemiro (78'), Marcelo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (71')

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Real Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Real Valladolid, including team news and predicted lineups.

La Liga champions Real Madrid are in home action for the first time this season on Wednesday evening as they take on Real Valladolid.

Los Blancos have collected four points from their opening two matches, both on their travels, while Valladolid are winless in their three matches so far.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos celebrates scoring against Real Betis in La Liga on September 26, 2020© Reuters

Zinedine Zidane's men showed great character to recover from 2-1 down in Saturday's clash with Real Betis, going on to win 3-2 through an Emerson own goal and Sergio Ramos penalty.

That came on the back of a goalless draw with Real Sociedad on the opening weekend, making the second-half comeback at Estadio Benito Villamarin all the more important.

It is now 13 league games without defeat for Madrid post-lockdown, 11 of those ending in victory, with the champions making themselves incredibly tough to beat.

Los Blancos are 11 without defeat against Valladolid, too, in a run stretching back to November 2008, although they were held 1-1 in their most recent home encounter.

Barcelona's big opening-game win against Villarreal on Sunday has laid down a bit of a marker for Zidane's men, while Atletico Madrid also looked impressive in their league bow.

Real Valladolid boss Sergio in February 2019.© Reuters

A tight title tussle can surely be expected this term, meaning that dropped points in a fixture such as this one could prove pretty disastrous for Madrid further down the line.

Valladolid hardly enter this fixture in the best of form, though, having kicked off the 2020-21 campaign with two draws and a defeat.

Their home meetings with Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo finished in 1-1 draws, either side of a 2-0 reverse at Real Betis in their only away match thus far.

Valladolid have now lost four and draw one of their last five away league matches, and have won just twice on their travels in the past year.

Sergio's side finished a respectable 13th last season, but if they are to match or better that achievement then they will need to quickly get some wins on the board.

Real Madrid La Liga form: DW

Real Valladolid La Liga form: DLD


Team News

Toni Kroos in action for Real Madrid on September 18, 2019© Reuters

Eden Hazard has not been involved in Madrid's opening two matches because of an ankle problem and remains a major doubt for this clash.

That is also the case for Marco Asensio and Eder Militao, with the duo yet to feature in 2020-21 due to a knee and muscular issue respectively.

Of more concern to Zidane will be the fitness of Marcelo and Toni Kroos. The latter's minor injury could see him miss out here, meaning more minutes for Federico Valverde.

Luka Jovic was handed a rare start against Betis and did not make the most of his opportunity, so Vinicius Junior is in contention to join Karim Benzema in attack here.

As for the visitors, Jordi Masip tested positive for coronavirus last week and was replaced in goal by Roberto against Celta Vigo.

Sergio has a couple of big calls to make in defence and attack, with Raul Garcia pushing for a start at left-back and Oscar Plano also hoping for a recall.

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Valverde, Casemiro, Modric; Isco; Vinicius, Benzema

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Jimenez; Perez, Gonzalez, Sanchez, Garcia; Michel, Perez; Hervias, Plano, Rubio; Guardiola


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 3-0 Real Valladolid

Madrid have not quite clicked into gear yet but they enter this first home fixture of the campaign as strong favourites. Valladolid tend to struggle on their travels and we are going with a routine victory for the champions on Wednesday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data

ID:416297: cacheID:416297:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:8610:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (11.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos celebrates scoring against Real Betis in La Liga on September 26, 2020
Read Next:
European roundup: Sergio Ramos nets late penalty as Real Madrid beat Real Betis
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria31111193062-3214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!