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Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 28, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Arminia Bielefeld logos

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Angelino (29'), Nkunku (47')
Orban (85'), Kampl (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klos (76')
van der Hoorn (38'), Lucoqui (78')

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Arminia Bielefeld - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

RB Leipzig host Arminia Bielefeld in the Bundesliga on Saturday with the home side looking to get back to winning ways after a difficult week.

The visitors, meanwhile, have dropped into 16th place in the table after a dismal run of six consecutive defeats.


Match preview

Dayot Upamecano in action for RB Leipzig on October 28, 2020© Reuters

Julian Nagelsmann's side followed up a 1-1 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend by losing 1-0 to Paris Saint-Germain in a crucial Champions League encounter in midweek, leaving them behind the French side in the group with only two matches remaining.

Leipzig did do well to recover a point at Frankfurt, though, having trailed at the half-time interval through Aymen Barkok's strike. Evan N'Dicka's long free-kick was misjudged in the air by Dayot Upamecano - not for the first time in recent weeks - with the winger racing onto the loose ball to score his first Bundesliga goal in almost four years after an impressive cameo at Stuttgart had earned the 22-year-old a rare start.

Yussuf Poulsen was sent on during the break and made a huge impact, superbly steering Angelino's cross into the far corner with the deftest of touches using the outside of his foot. The Denmark striker is building quite the repertoire of picture book goals after his Marco van Basten-esque strike against Augsburg earlier in the campaign.

Ultimately, Leipzig were more than content to walk away from the game with a point after Andre Silva fired straight at Peter Gulasci towards the end of the match having been played through on goal, but the loss in Paris may have considerably damaged morale. The upcoming home match against a side on a terrible run of form, then, could prove to be the perfect remedy.

Arminia Bielefeld's Manuel Prietl celebrates their first goal against Bayern Munich in October 2020© Reuters

Indeed, after making a decent start upon gaining promotion to compete in the Bundesliga for the first time since the 2008-09 season by gaining four points from their first two games, Arminia have failed to pick up a single point in their six games since.

In fairness, Uwe Neuhaus's side have had a difficult run of fixtures, losing to four of last season's top seven in the shape of Bayern Munich, Wolfsburg, Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen.

The latter were deserved winners last weekend, with Leon Bailey smashing Peter Bosz's side into the lead after a confident start from the visitors. However, Arminia were very close to gaining a surprise point despite not having a single shot in the entire 90 minutes. Neuhaus's side's equaliser came via Leverkusen goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky's comical own goal, with the Finland international somehow slicing the ball into his own net from Daley Sinkgraven's backpass.

Hradecky's blushes were spared with Arminia hearts simultaneously sunken by Aleksandar Dragovic's 88th-minute winner. Matters are certainly not getting any easier for Arminia, either, with a trip to Leipzig this weekend, but Neuhaus must ensure his players keep faith in the process with fixtures against potential relegation rivals Freiburg, Mainz 05 and Schalke 04 on the horizon.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form: WWWLWD
RB Leipzig form (all competitions): LLWWDL

Arminia Bielefeld Bundesliga form: LLLLLL


Team News

RB Leipzig head coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Leipzig remain without long-term absentees Konrad Laimer (ankle), Lukas Klostermann and Fabrice Hartmann (both knee) for the visit of Arminia.

Summer signing Hwang Hee-chan is also unavailable due to coronavirus, with Poulsen and Emil Forsberg likely to come into the starting XI from last weekend's draw against Frankfurt.

Neuhaus, meanwhile, appears to be in the enviable position of having no injury or suspension concerns to contend with.

32-year-old forward Fabian Klos still remains without a goal at the top level despite amassing 154 league goals in the lower levels of German football, though, and is surely at risk of being dropped sooner or later despite his legendary status at the club.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulasci; Adams, Konate, Upamecano, Angelino; Sabitzer, Kampl; Nkunku, Olmo, Forsberg; Poulsen

Arminia Bielefeld possible starting lineup:
Ortega; Brunner, Pieper, van der Hoorn, Lucoqui; Doan, Prietl, Seufert, Hartel, Yabo; Klos


SM words green background

We say: RB Leipzig 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld

We expect a comfortable afternoon for Julian Nagelsmann's side against an Arminia side struggling to muster shots on target, let alone gain results, against the stronger sides in the division.

Leipzig's ability to counter-press should be a nightmare for Neuhaus's side, who look to play out from the back at every opportunity.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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