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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2020 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Bordeaux
PSG
2 - 2
Bordeaux
Neymar (27' pen.), Kean (28')
Pembele (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pembele (10' og.), Adli (60')
Otavio (26')

Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bordeaux - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Paris Saint-Germain will look to keep the momentum going from their midweek victory over RB Leipzig when they welcome Bordeaux to the Parc des Princes for Saturday's Ligue 1 encounter.

Similarly, the visitors are also aiming to build on an impressive win as they overcame Rennes 1-0 in their most recent domestic outing.


Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain PSG manager Thomas Tuchel pictured in November 2020© Reuters

It is inconceivable to believe that PSG - last season's Champions League runners-up - will falter at the first hurdle in Europe's elite competition, but the French champions ensured that a path to the knockout stages is still on the cards with a narrow victory over Leipzig in midweek.

Neymar confidently dispatched a controversially-awarded penalty in the 11th minute, and Leipzig were unable to find a way through for the remainder of the game as Thomas Tuchel's men claimed a vital three points.

With next week's imperative showdown with Manchester United in mind, Tuchel will no doubt be desperate to see his perennial champions return to winning ways in Ligue 1, where they boast a two-point lead atop the rankings ahead of second-placed Lille.

PSG had amassed an eight-game winning run in the top flight before last weekend - with Tuchel's men scoring 26 goals and conceding just once in that time - but the injury-hit champions suffered a second-half capitulation against Monaco as Les Monegasques came out of a pulsating encounter as the victors by three goals to two.

A Kylian Mbappe double put PSG in control before the break, but the introduction of Cesc Fabregas breathed new life into Monaco as he scored from the spot after Kevin Volland's double had initially levelled the scores, with PSG finishing the game with 10 men after Abdou Diallo was given his marching orders.

Jean-Louis Gasset as Saint-Etienne manager in January 2019.© Reuters

In contrast, Bordeaux managed to come out on the correct end of the scoreline at Roazhon Park against a Rennes side who have suffered a downhill slump in recent weeks.

A 37th-minute Hatem Ben Arfa goal saw Bordeaux assume control of the game, and Jean-Louis Gasset's men won the only way they know how - by keeping a clean sheet.

Indeed, Les Girondins have recorded shut-outs in all four of their league victories this season, with Bordeaux keeping a total of seven clean sheets in the 2020-21 campaign, but they are now facing a PSG side who have also stopped the opposition from scoring seven times in Ligue 1 this season.

Bordeaux's defence seemed to have lost its resolve in recent weeks before that victory at Rennes, and Gasset's rearguard will certainly need to produce an inspired performance if they are to stop PSG from adding to the 28 league goals they have already notched up this term.

Les Girondins, who currently occupy 12th spot in the table, are winless against PSG since the 2014-15 campaign - with the champions triumphing 4-3 in a thriller at the Parc des Princes last season.

Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 form: WWWWWL
Paris Saint-Germain form (all competitions): WWLWLW

Bordeaux Ligue 1 form: WLWLLW


Team News

Mauro Icardi in action for PSG on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Diallo's red card against Monaco has ruled him out of this encounter, while Marquinhos is also going to be rested here, but Presnel Kimpembe is available despite missing the win over Leipzig through a suspension of his own.

While the game is expected to come too soon for Julian Draxler, fellow absentees Idrissa Gueye and Mauro Icardi both have outside chances of returning to the fold for this encounter.

Tuchel will no doubt ring the changes as he sets his sights on next week's showdown with Man Utd, which could see the likes of Pablo Sarabia, Moise Kean, Rafinha and Colin Dagba all start.

In contrast, Bordeaux have very little in the way of injury concerns, with defender Mexer the only one to occupy a spot in the treatment room as he nurses a hamstring problem.

Loris Benito, Remi Oudin and Nicolas de Preville are all among those fighting for recalls to the first XI, but Gasset is unlikely to make many alterations from that hard-fought win over Rennes.

However, centre-back Pablo is back from a suspension and could slot straight back into the defence ahead of Paul Baysse.

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Navas; Dagba, Kimpembe, Pereira, Kurzawa; Verratti, Herrera, Rafinha; Sarabia, Kean, Mbappe

Bordeaux possible starting lineup:
Costil; Kwateng, Pablo, Koscielny, Sabaly; Basic, Otavio; Oudin, Ben Arfa, Kalu; Maja


SM words green background

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Bordeaux

With both of these French giants boasting remarkable defensive records ahead of Saturday's clash, fans can typically expect to see the goals flying in at the Parc des Princes. PSG's medical room is slowly emptying at a crucial time for Tuchel, and while the German is expected to shuffle the pack ahead of next week's trip to Old Trafford, the champions should have the firepower needed to get the job done on Saturday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.


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Paris Saint-Germain PSG manager Thomas Tuchel pictured in November 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420

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