Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
25.31% | 25.3% | 49.39% |
Both teams to score 51.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.35% | 51.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.57% | 73.43% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% | 35.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.03% | 71.97% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% | 20.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.34% | 53.65% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 49.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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