Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.25% | 24.56% | 55.19% |
Both teams to score 47.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.39% | 53.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.89% | 75.11% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.83% | 41.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.29% | 77.71% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% | 19.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |