Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.42%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.69% | 22.15% | 64.16% |
Both teams to score 41.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% | 54.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% | 75.72% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.94% | 50.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.3% | 84.7% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.64% | 16.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.01% | 45.99% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.67% 2-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 13.69% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 14.83% 0-2 @ 13.42% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-4 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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