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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
St James' Park
Leeds logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leeds

Almiron (57')
Schar (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Magpies have gone 11 games in all competitions without a win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
17.58%21.45%60.98%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32%75.68%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83%14.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.15%41.85%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 17.58%
    Leeds United 60.97%
    Draw 21.44%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.2%
2-1 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 2.45%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.58%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 10.78%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 6.47%
0-4 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 3.05%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 60.97%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leeds

Newcastle United
19.3%
Draw
28.1%
Leeds United
52.6%
342
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 13
Leeds
5-2
Newcastle
Bamford (35'), Rodrigo (61'), Dallas (77'), Alioski (85'), Harrison (88')
Klich (37'), Phillips (48'), Raphinha (67')
Hendrick (26'), Clark (65')
Hayden (50')
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-1
Leeds
Lascelles (67')
Shelvey (93'), Colback (95')
Wood (95')
Jansson (52'), Bartley (54'), Phillips (75')
Nov 20, 2016 1.15pm
Sep 25, 2013 7.45pm
Round Three
Newcastle
2-0
Leeds
Cisse (31'), Gouffran (66')

Mowatt (84')
Jan 7, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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