Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
83.42% | 11% | 5.59% |
Both teams to score 47.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.35% | 28.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.43% | 49.57% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.05% | 4.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.17% | 19.83% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.76% | 50.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.17% | 84.83% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
3-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 11.24% 4-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.76% 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.48% 4-1 @ 5.83% 5-0 @ 5.1% 5-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.67% 6-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 1.21% 7-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.74% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 2.66% 0-0 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.7% Total : 11% | 1-2 @ 1.77% 0-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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