Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
