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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
5 - 0
Toronto

Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
38.28%26.1%35.62%
Both teams to score 53.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34%50.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44%72.57%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14%25.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16%60.84%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61%27.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14%62.86%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 38.28%
    Toronto 35.62%
    Draw 26.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.62%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Akinola (58'), Pozuelo (76')
Santos (5')
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am
May 11, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Toronto
1-2
Philadelphia
Pozuelo (51')
Ciman (61'), Altidore (82'), Pozuelo (95')
Mavinga (25' og.), Monteiro (68')
Bedoya (32'), Trusty (86'), Przybylko (92')
Mar 2, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 1
Philadelphia
1-3
Toronto
Fabian (73' pen.)
Picault (30'), Santos (81')
Bradley (45', 62'), DeLeon (90')
Bradley (54'), Osorio (83')
rhs 2.0
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