Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
42.99% | 24.26% | 32.75% |
Both teams to score 59.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% | 20.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% | 52.45% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% | 25.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% | 60.25% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |