Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
30.11% | 26.44% | 43.45% |
Both teams to score 51.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% | 53.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% | 74.93% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% | 32.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.12% | 68.88% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% | 24.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% | 58.81% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |