Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
20.85% | 23.87% | 55.29% |
Both teams to score 50.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.78% | 50.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.82% | 72.18% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% | 38.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% | 75.35% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.97% | 18.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.08% | 48.92% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 0-2 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |