Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
67.54% | 17.68% | 14.78% |
Both teams to score 59.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.65% | 32.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.03% | 53.97% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.18% | 8.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.77% | 30.23% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% | 71.46% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 7.44% 3-0 @ 7.31% 4-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 4.09% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.21% Total : 67.54% | 1-1 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.05% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-1 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.43% Total : 14.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |