Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
46.35% | 25.93% | 27.73% |
Both teams to score 51.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% | 22.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% | 56.27% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% | 33.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |