Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
58.36% | 23.07% | 18.57% |
Both teams to score 49.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% | 49.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% | 16.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.18% | 46.82% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.07% | 40.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.5% | 77.5% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.8% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.89% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |