Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
45.53% | 25.47% | 29.01% |
Both teams to score 53.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.05% | 49.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.06% | 71.94% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% | 55.2% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% | 31.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.23% | 67.77% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |