Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Dijon |
54.04% | 24.95% | 21.01% |
Both teams to score 47.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.76% | 54.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% | 20.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% | 52.25% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% | 40.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% | 77.31% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.04% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |