Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Brest |
47.81% | 25.9% | 26.29% |
Both teams to score 50.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% | 74.85% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% | 22.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% | 55.76% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.71% | 35.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.95% | 72.05% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |