Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
21.28% | 22.32% | 56.4% |
Both teams to score 55.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% | 43.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% | 65.49% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% | 34.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% | 70.81% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.9% | 15.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.35% | 43.64% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.28% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-3 @ 5.8% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |