Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lorient |
35.11% | 26.59% | 38.29% |
Both teams to score 52.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% | 52.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% | 74.4% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% | 28.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% | 64.54% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% | 26.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% | 62.14% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |