Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lille |
27.97% | 25.42% | 46.61% |
Both teams to score 53.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% | 50.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% | 32.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% | 68.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% | 21.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% | 54.69% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |