Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
33.65% | 25.47% | 40.88% |
Both teams to score 55.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% | 48.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% | 70.39% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.58% | 27.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.1% | 62.89% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% | 23.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% | 57.39% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |